2019 Oscars: Complete Predictions

Previously, in Jack’s 2019 Oscar coverage…

January 28 – Best Picture
January 31 – Editing
February 4 – Supporting Actress
February 7 – Leading Actor
February 11 – Supporting Actor
February 14 – Leading Actress
February 18 – Director
February 19 – Original Screenplay
February 20 – Adapted Screenplay
February 21 – Cinematography

Tonight…

Final Updated and Revised Predictions For Oscar Night

BEST PICTURE – NOMINEES
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”

Who will win: Roma (though Green Book is making a late run)
Who could win : Green Book (updated from BlackKKlansman)
Who should win: Green Book
Who should be here: If Beale Street Could Talk

EDITING – NOMINEES
Bohemian Rhapsody, John Ottman
Vice, Hank Corwin
The Favourite, Yorgos Mavropsaridis
BlacKkKlansman, Barry Alexander Brown
Green Book, Patrick J. Don Vito

Who will win: Vice, Hank Corwin
Who could win: Bohemian Rhapsody, John Ottman (updated from: BlackKKlansman, Barry Alexander Brown)
Who should win: Vice, Hank Corwin
Who should be here: First Man, Tom Cross

SUPPORTING ACTRESS – NOMINEES
Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Who will win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Who could win: Rachel Weisz (updated from: Amy Adams, Vice)
Who should win: Amy Adams, Vice
Who should be here: Linda Cardellini, Green Book

BEST ACTOR – NOMINEES
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Christian Bale, Vice
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

Who will win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody (updated from: Christian Bale, Vice)
Who could win: Christian Bale, Vice (updated from: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody)
Who should win: Christian Bale, Vice (but barely)
Who should be here: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed

SUPPORTING ACTOR – NOMINEES
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

Who will win: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Who could win: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Updated from: Mahershala Ali, Green Book)
Who should win: Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Who should be here: Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy

LEADING ACTRESS – NOMINEES
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Who will win: Glenn Close, The Wife
Who could win: Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Who should win: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Who should be here: Elsie Fischer, Eighth Grade and Carey Mulligan, Wildlife

DIRECTOR – NOMINEES
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Adam McKay, Vice

Who will win: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Who could win: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Who should win: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Who should be here: Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – NOMINEES
The Favourite, Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
First Reformed, Paul Schrader
Green Book, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga
Roma, Alfonso Cuaron
Vice, Adam McKay

Who will win: The Favourite, Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
Who could win: Green Book, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga (Updated from: First Reformed, Paul Schrader)
Who should win: Green Book, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga
Who should be here: Eighth Grade, Bo Burnham

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – NOMINEES
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Joel and Ethan Coen
BlacKkKlansman, Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel and Kevin Willmott
Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
A Star Is Born, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters and Eric Roth

Who will win: BlacKkKlansman, Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel and Kevin Willmott
Who could win: If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
Who should win: If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
Who should be here: 22 July, Paul Greengrass and Anne Seierstad

CINEMATOGRAPHY – NOMINEES
The Favourite, Robbie Ryan
Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
Cold War, Lukasz Zal
A Star Is Born, Matty Libatique
Never Look Away, Caleb Deschanel

Who will win: Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
Who could win: Cold War, Lukasz Zal
Who should win: Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
Who should be here: First Man, Linus Sandgren and If Beale Street Could Talk, James Laxton

Programming note: After pulling double-duty (and then some) this month, I’ll be taking my usual break for the month of March. I’ll be back on Monday, April 8 with my quarterly film review clip show, then the two-week 2019 summer film preview! See you then!