2018 Oscars: Complete Predictions

Thanks for sticking with me through 12 Oscar posts. After pulling double-duty the last few weeks, I’m going to go write something else for a while. The blog will be back on April 9 with my first quarter Twitter film reviews, and my 2018 Summer Film Preview on April 16 and 23.

Until then…A wrap-up of my 2018 Oscar predictions leading into the main event, which start shortly…

BEST PICTURE – NOMINEES
“Call Me by Your Name”
“Darkest Hour”
“Dunkirk”
“Get Out”
“Lady Bird”
“Phantom Thread”
“The Post”
“The Shape of Water”
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Who will win: The Shape of Water
Who could win: Anyone, really, could surprise, but Three Billboards or Dunkirk more likely
Who should win: Dunkirk (from this list)
Who should be here: I, Tonya; Last Flag Flying; Logan; Molly’s Game; Mudbound; The Big Sick and Wind River.

LEAD ACTRESS – NOMINEES
Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water”
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”
Meryl Streep, “The Post”

Who will win: Saoirse Ronan
Who could win: Frances McDormand
Who should win: Jessica Chastain, “Molly’s Game”
Who should be here: Jessica Chastain, “Molly’s Game”

LEAD ACTOR – NOMINEES
Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name”
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread”
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out”
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

Who will win: Gary Oldman
Who could win: Gary Oldman
Who should win: Gary Olman
Who should be here: Hugh Jackman, “Logan”

SUPPORTING ACTOR – NOMINEES
Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project”
Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water”
Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World”
Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

Who will win: Sam Rockwell
Who could win: Willem Dafoe
Who should win: Sam Rockwell
Who should be here: Patrick Stewart, “Logan”

SUPPORTING ACTRESS – NOMINEES
Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound”
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread”
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird”
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”

Who will win: Allison Janney
Who could win: Laurie Metcalf
Who should win: Allison Janney
Who should be here: Bria Vinaite, “The Florida Project”

CINEMATOGRAPHY – NOMINEES
“Blade Runner 2049,” Roger Deakins
“Darkest Hour,” Bruno Delbonnel
“Dunkirk,” Hoyte van Hoytema
“Mudbound,” Rachel Morrison
“The Shape of Water,” Dan Laustsen

Who will win: Blade Runner 2049
Who could win: Dunkirk
Who should win: Blade Runner 2049
Who should be here: “John Mathieson,” Logan

DIRECTOR – NOMINEES
“Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“Phantom Thread,” Paul Thomas Anderson
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro

Who will win: Christopher Nolan
Who could win: Guillermo del Toro
Who should win: Christopher Nolan
Who should be here: James Mangold, “Logan”

FILM EDITING – NOMINEES
“Baby Driver,” Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss
“Dunkirk,” Lee Smith
“I, Tonya,” Tatiana S. Riegel
“The Shape of Water,” Sidney Wolinsky
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Jon Gregory

Who will win: The Shape of Water
Who could win: Dunkirk
Who should win: Baby Driver
Who should be here: Baby Driver

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – NOMINEES
“Call Me by Your Name,” James Ivory
“The Disaster Artist,” Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
“Logan,” Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green
“Molly’s Game,” Aaron Sorkin
“Mudbound,” Virgil Williams and Dee Rees

Who will win: Molly’s Game
Who could win: Call Me By Your Name
Who should win: Molly’s Game
Who should be here: “Last Flag Flying” Richard Linklater & Darryl Ponicsan (updated from original post)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – NOMINEES
“The Big Sick,” Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani
“Get Out,” Jordan Peele
“Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig
“The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Martin McDonagh

Who will win: Get Out
Who could win: Lady Bird
Who should win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Who should be here: “Wind River,” Taylor Sheridan