2019 Oscars: Nomination Predictions

The 2019 Oscar season officially kicks off tomorrow, Tuesday, January 22…hella early, for reasons passing understanding. Kumail Nanjiani and Tracee Ellis Ross will live stream the nominations starting at 8:20am ET/5:20am PT. You can watch it yourself, if you’re into that kind of thing.

I’ll have plenty to say in the coming weeks, as per usual, about all of these films, so for now, I present my Oscar nomination predictions in my 10 usual categories below without comment.

PICTURE (5-10 films allowed)

Sure Things
Roma
A Star is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Green Book
Vice
Black Panther
The Favourite
Bohemian Rhapsody

Possibles
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk

Dark Horses
Crazy Rich Asians
A Quiet Place

Personal Nominations
Life Itself
22 July
Wildlife

DIRECTOR

Sure Things
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Possibles
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Adam McKay – Vice
Pawl Pawlikowski – Cold War

Dark Horses
Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk

Personal Nominations
Jason Reitman – The Front Runner

ACTRESS

Sure Things
Olivia Coleman – The Favourite
Glenn Close – The Wife
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Possibles
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

Dark Horses
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Elsie Fischer – Eighth Grade

Personal Nominators
Carey Mulligan – Wildlife
Claire Foy – Unsane
Natalie Portman – Annihilation

ACTOR

Sure Things
Christian Bale – Vice
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Possibles
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Dark Horses
No one jumps out

Personal Nominations
Robert Redford – Old Man and the Gun

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Sure Things
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

Possible
Adam Driver – BlackKkKlansman

Dark Horse
Michael B Jordan – Black Panther

Personal Nomination
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Sure Things
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Rachel Weisz – The Favorite
Emma Stone – The Favourite

Possibles
Amy Adams – Vice
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place
Claire Foy – First Man

Dark Horses
Linda Cardellini – Green Book
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Personal Nominations
Linda Cardellini – Green Book
Sissy Spacek – Old Man and the Gun

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Sure Things
Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Wilmont and Spike Lee- BlacKkKlansman
Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk

Possibles
Ryan Cooper and Joe Robert Cole – Black Panther
Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini – Leave No Trace
Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper and Will Fetters – A Star is Born

Dark Horse
Peter Chiarelli and Adele Lim – Crazy Rich Asians

Personal Nomination
Paul Greengrass Anne Seierstad – 22 July

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Sure Things
Debrah Davis and Tony McNamara – The Favourite
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie and Peter Farrelly – Green Book
Adam McKay – Vice

Possible
Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade

Dark Horse
Paul Schrader – First Reformed

Personal Nomination
Christopher Markus and Stephen McFeely – The Avengers: Infinity War

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Sure Things
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Linus Sandgren – First Man
Linus Sandgren – A Star is Born
Lukasz Zal – Cold War

Possible
Robbie Ryan – The Favorite

Dark Horse
James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk

Personal Nominations
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Linus Sandgren – First Man

EDITING

Sure Things
Jay Cassidy – A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuaron and Adam Gough – Roma
Hank Corwin – Vice
Tom Cross – First Man

Possible
John Ottman – Bohemian Rhapsody

Dark Horses
Yorgos Mavropsaridis – The Favourite
Eddie Hamilton – Mission: Impossible – Fallout

Personal Nominations
Joi McMillon and Nat Sanders – If Beale Street Could Talk