2021 Oscar Picks

My Oscar blogs aren’t what they used to be, but I’m still watching most of the films. Below are my picks in the categories in which I’ve seen all the films…

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
RIZ AHMED
Sound of Metal
CHADWICK BOSEMAN
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
ANTHONY HOPKINS
The Father
GARY OLDMAN
Mank
STEVEN YEUN
Minari

Who will win: Chadwick Boseman
Who could win: Chadwick Boseman
Who should win: Chadwick Boseman
Who should be here: Paul Bettany (Uncle Frank)

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
SACHA BARON COHEN
The Trial of the Chicago 7
DANIEL KALUUYA
Judas and the Black Messiah
LESLIE ODOM, JR.
One Night in Miami…
PAUL RACI
Sound of Metal
LAKEITH STANFIELD
Judas and the Black Messiah

Who will win: Daniel Kaluuya
Who could win: Sacha Baron Cohen
Who should win: Daniel Kaluuya
Who should be here: Delroy Lindo (Da Five Bloods)

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
VIOLA DAVIS
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
ANDRA DAY
The United States vs. Billie Holiday
VANESSA KIRBY
Pieces of a Woman
FRANCES MCDORMAND
Nomadland
CAREY MULLIGAN
Promising Young Woman

Who will win: Carey Mulligan
Who could win: Viola Davis
Who should win: Carey Mulligan
Who should be here: Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy)

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
MARIA BAKALOVA
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
GLENN CLOSE
Hillbilly Elegy
OLIVIA COLMAN
The Father
AMANDA SEYFRIED
Mank
YUH-JUNG YOUN
Minari

Who will win: Yuh-Jung Youn
Who could win: Yuh-Jung Youn
Who should win: Yuh-Jung Youn
Who should be here: Olivia Cooke (Sound of Metal)

CINEMATOGRAPHY
JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH
Sean Bobbitt
MANK
Erik Messerschmidt
NEWS OF THE WORLD
Dariusz Wolski
NOMADLAND
Joshua James Richards
THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Phedon Papamichael

Who will win: Nomadland
Who could win: Mank
Who should win: Nomadland
Who should be here: Sound of Metal

DIRECTING
ANOTHER ROUND
Thomas Vinterberg
MANK
David Fincher
MINARI
Lee Isaac Chung
NOMADLAND
Chloé Zhao
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
Emerald Fennell

Who will win: Chloé Zhao
Who could win: Lee Isaac Chung
Who should win: Lee Isaac Chung
Who should be here: Aaron Sorkin (Trial of the Chicago 7)

FILM EDITING
NOMINEES
THE FATHER
Yorgos Lamprinos
NOMADLAND
Chloé Zhao
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
Frédéric Thoraval
SOUND OF METAL
Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Alan Baumgarten

Who will win: Trial of the Chicago 7
Who could win: Sound of Metal
Who should win: Trial of the Chicago 7
Who should be here: Mank

BEST PICTURE
NOMINEES
THE FATHER
David Parfitt, Jean-Louis Livi and Philippe Carcassonne, Producers
JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH
Shaka King, Charles D. King and Ryan Coogler, Producers
MANK
Ceán Chaffin, Eric Roth and Douglas Urbanski, Producers
MINARI
Christina Oh, Producer
NOMADLAND
Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey and Chloé Zhao, Producers
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
Ben Browning, Ashley Fox, Emerald Fennell and Josey McNamara, Producers
SOUND OF METAL
Bert Hamelinck and Sacha Ben Harroche, Producers
THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Marc Platt and Stuart Besser, Producers

Who will win: Nomadland
Who could win: Minari
Who should win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Who should be here: Another Round, Da Five Bloods and Palm Springs

PRODUCTION DESIGN
THE FATHER
Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone
MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM
Production Design: Mark Ricker; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara and Diana Stoughton
MANK
Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
NEWS OF THE WORLD
Production Design: David Crank; Set Decoration: Elizabeth Keenan
TENET
Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas

Who will win: Mank
Who could win: News of the World
Who should win: Mank
Who should be here: Judas and the Black Messiah

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
BORAT SUBSEQUENT MOVIEFILM: DELIVERY OF PRODIGIOUS BRIBE TO AMERICAN REGIME FOR MAKE BENEFIT ONCE GLORIOUS NATION OF KAZAKHSTAN
Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Nina Pedrad
THE FATHER
Screenplay by Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller
NOMADLAND
Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao
ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI…
Screenplay by Kemp Powers
THE WHITE TIGER
Written for the screen by Ramin Bahrani

Who will win: Nomadland
Who could win: The Father
Who should win: The White Tiger
Who should be here: News of the World

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH
Screenplay by Will Berson & Shaka King; Story by Will Berson & Shaka King and Kenny Lucas & Keith Lucas
MINARI
Written by Lee Isaac Chung
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
Written by Emerald Fennell
SOUND OF METAL
Screenplay by Darius Marder & Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder & Derek Cianfrance
THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Written by Aaron Sorkin

Who will win: Promising Young Woman
Who could win: Minari
Who should win: Trial of the Chicago 7
Who should be here: Another Round