2022 Oscar Predictions

My 2022 Oscar predictions. As per usual, I only predict in categories in which I’ve seen all of the nominated films…

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
NOMINEES
JAVIER BARDEM
Being the Ricardos
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH
The Power of the Dog
ANDREW GARFIELD
tick, tick…BOOM!
WILL SMITH
King Richard
DENZEL WASHINGTON
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Who will win: Will Smith
Who could win: Benedict Cumberbatch
Who should win: Andrew Garfield
Who should be here: Winston Duke, Nine Days

 

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
NOMINEES
CIARÁN HINDS
Belfast
TROY KOTSUR
CODA
JESSE PLEMONS
The Power of the Dog
J.K. SIMMONS
Being the Ricardos
KODI SMIT-MCPHEE
The Power of the Dog

Who will win: Troy Kotsur
Who could win: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Who should win: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Who should be here: Ben Affleck, either The Tender Bar or The Last Duel

 

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
NOMINEES
JESSICA CHASTAIN
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
OLIVIA COLMAN
The Lost Daughter
PENÉLOPE CRUZ
Parallel Mothers
NICOLE KIDMAN
Being the Ricardos
KRISTEN STEWART
Spencer

Who will win: Jessica Chastain
Who could win: Penélope Cruz
Who should win: Kristen Stewart
Who should be here: Emilia Jones, CODA and Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World

 

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
NOMINEES
JESSIE BUCKLEY
The Lost Daughter
ARIANA DEBOSE
West Side Story
JUDI DENCH
Belfast
KIRSTEN DUNST
The Power of the Dog
AUNJANUE ELLIS
King Richard

Who will win: Ariana Debose
Who could win: Kirsten Dunst
Who should win: Milena Smit, Parallel Mothers
Who should be here: Milena Smit, Parallel Mothers

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY
NOMINEES
DUNE
Greig Fraser
NIGHTMARE ALLEY
Dan Laustsen
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Ari Wegner
THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH
Bruno Delbonnel
WEST SIDE STORY
Janusz Kaminski

Who will win: Ari Wegner
Who could win: Greig Fraser
Who should win: Ari Wegner
Who should be here: Edu Grau, Passing

 

DIRECTING
NOMINEES
BELFAST
Kenneth Branagh
DRIVE MY CAR
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
LICORICE PIZZA
Paul Thomas Anderson
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Jane Campion
WEST SIDE STORY
Steven Spielberg

Who will win: Jane Campion
Who could win: Kenneth Branagh
Who should win: Jane Campion
Who should be here: Lin-Manuel Miranda, tick…tick…BOOM! and Aaron Sorkin, Being the Ricardos

 

FILM EDITING
NOMINEES
DON’T LOOK UP
Hank Corwin
DUNE
Joe Walker
KING RICHARD
Pamela Martin
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Peter Sciberras
TICK, TICK…BOOM!
Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum

Who will win: Joe Walker
Who could win: Pamela Martin
Who should win: Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum
Who should be here: Leigh Folsom Boyd and Jeffrey Ford, Spider-Man: No Way Home

 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
NOMINEES
COMING 2 AMERICA
Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer
CRUELLA
Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon
DUNE
Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr
THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE
Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh
HOUSE OF GUCCI
Göran Lundström, Anna Carin Lock and Frederic Aspiras

Who will win: Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh
Who could win: Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon
Who should win: Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh
Who should be here: The team from Being the Ricardos

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN
NOMINEES
DUNE
Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos
NIGHTMARE ALLEY
Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Production Design: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Amber Richards
THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH
Production Design: Stefan Dechant; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh
WEST SIDE STORY
Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Rena DeAngelo

Who will win: Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos
Who could win: Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
Who should win: Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
Who should be here: The team from Being the Ricardos

 

SOUND
NOMINEES
BELFAST
Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri
DUNE
Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett
NO TIME TO DIE
Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb
WEST SIDE STORY
Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy

Who will win: Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett
Who could win: Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor
Who should win: Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor
Who should be here: The team from The Lost Daughter

 

VISUAL EFFECTS
NOMINEES
DUNE
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer
FREE GUY
Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick
NO TIME TO DIE
Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould
SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS
Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver
SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME
Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick

Who will win: Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer
Who could win: Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick
Who should win: Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick
Who should be here: The team from Nine Days

 

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
NOMINEES
CODA
Screenplay by Siân Heder
DRIVE MY CAR
Screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe
DUNE
Screenplay by Jon Spaihts and Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth
THE LOST DAUGHTER
Written by Maggie Gyllenhaal
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Written by Jane Campion

Who will win: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Who could win: Siân Heder, CODA
Who should win: Siân Heder, CODA
Who should be here: Nicole Holofcener, Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, The Last Duel

 

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
NOMINEES
BELFAST
Written by Kenneth Branagh
DON’T LOOK UP
Screenplay by Adam McKay; Story by Adam McKay & David Sirota
KING RICHARD
Written by Zach Baylin
LICORICE PIZZA
Written by Paul Thomas Anderson
THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD
Written by Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier

Who will win: PTA, Licorice Pizza
Who could win: Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Who should win: Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier, The Worst Person in the World
Who should be here: Aaron Sorkin, Being the Ricardos

 

BEST PICTURE
NOMINEES
BELFAST
Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, Producers
CODA
Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, Producers
DON’T LOOK UP
Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers
DRIVE MY CAR
Teruhisa Yamamoto, Producer
DUNE
Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, Producers
KING RICHARD
Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, Producers
LICORICE PIZZA
Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, Producers
NIGHTMARE ALLEY
Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, Producers
THE POWER OF THE DOG
Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers
WEST SIDE STORY
Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers

Who will win: The Power of the Dog
Who could win: CODA
Who should win: The Power of the Dog

Who should be here: tick…tick…BOOM!, Being the Ricardos, Nine Days, Spider-Man: No Way Home and The Worst Person in the World
Who they should replace: West Side Story, Nightmare Alley, Dune, Drive My Car and Don’t Look Up.